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Random variables & distributions

Estimation & hypothesis testing

Japanese school year: University year 1

What you learn

Learn about random variables whose values are determined by trial outcomes, their probability distributions, and how to compute expectation and variance. These concepts quantify central tendency and dispersion, forming the foundation for statistical inference. Prior understanding of basic probability rules and sequence summations is required.

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Key points

Use this formula to calculate the expected value (mean) E(X)E(X) of a discrete random variable XX. Multiply each possible value xix_i by its probability pip_i and sum them all up.

E(X)=∑i=1nxipiE(X) = \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i p_i

Use this formula to efficiently compute the spread (variance V(X)V(X)) of random variable XX. Subtract the square of the mean (E(X))2(E(X))^2 from the expected value of the squared variable E(X2)E(X^2).

V(X)=E(X2)−(E(X))2V(X) = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2

Use this formula to find the new expected value when random variable XX is multiplied by aa and shifted by bb. The new mean is simply aa times the original expectation E(X)E(X), plus bb.

E(aX+b)=aE(X)+bE(aX + b) = aE(X) + b

This formula shows how scaling and shifting affect variance. Multiplying XX by aa scales the variance by a2a^2, whereas adding a constant bb does not change the spread at all.

V(aX+b)=a2V(X)V(aX + b) = a^2 V(X)

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